[…] armed conflict involving states and rebel groups, armed conflict between non-state actors, and violence against civilians[…] combining these two approaches of classical regression in dynamic simulation with machine learning type models in one step ahead forecasting through (model ensembles). […] Random forests, K Nearest Neighbours, Support Vector Machines, Neural Networks […]

pcr.uu.se ViEWS – Department of Peace and Conflict Research – Uppsala University, Sweden